College football chaos is alive and properly throughout convention championship weekend.
No. 5 Oklahoma State was the primary massive sufferer of mentioned chaos on Saturday, dropping 21-16 to No. 9 Baylor within the Big 12 championship sport — the final remaining crew between the Cowboys and their first ever College Football Playoff berth.
MORE: 10 College Football Playoff situations, from chalk to full two-loss chaos
The loss has to be devastating for Mike Gundy and Co., contemplating it got here every week after the Cowboys beat rival Oklahoma for the primary time since 2014. It’s even worse contemplating they gave up zero second-half factors. The Cowboys remained in rivalry all the best way to the very finish after Baylor missed two area objectives within the second half, however a fourth-and-goal cease from the 1-yard line on their ultimate offensive play sealed the Baylor victory:
The Cowboys can even have a look at their turnover woes: They dedicated 4 within the second half alone, together with two interceptions, a misplaced fumble and a turnover on downs to finish the sport. Perhaps the worst a part of Saturday’s loss is that they have been unable to get the victory towards redshirt freshman quarterback Blake Shapen — making simply his second ever begin for the Bears. He accomplished 23 of 28 passes for 180 yards and three touchdowns.
Oklahoma State’s loss means it’s not in rivalry for the playoff. But the place the Cowboys lose, different groups stand to achieve. Here’s what it means for the opposite playoff-eligible groups on championship weekend:
Rankings mirror Week 14 College Football Playoff high 25
MORE: Notre Dame CFP situations: Can Fighting Irish make playoff with Cincinnati loss?
Table of Contents
Previous rank: 2
The Wolverines are nonetheless in win-and-in mode so far as the playoff is worried. So lengthy as Jim Harbaugh and Co. beat the Hawkeyes in Lucas Oil Stadium, then Michigan will turn out to be the No. 2 seed within the playoff. A loss virtually definitely negates any probability the Wolverines would have of constructing the playoff, although it’s maybe price asking whether or not a win by Georgia within the SEC championship and a loss by Cincinnati within the AAC championship would open a path for Michigan to the playoff, even when it loses to the Hawkeyes on Saturday. The Hawkeyes are ranked thirteenth within the newest CFP polls, in order that could be too massive a leap for them to take part within the playoff, even with a convention championship victory over 11-win Michigan.
Previous rank: 3
Oklahoma State’s loss to Baylor creates a window — regardless of how small — that the Crimson Tide may nonetheless get in with a loss to Georgia, relying on how shut it’s. If they have been to play the Bulldogs shut in a one- or two-possession sport, then that — coupled with a loss by the Bearcats within the AAC championship sport — would probably assure a two-loss crew making the playoff. At that time, would the committee take 11-2 Alabama, 11-2 Michigan, 11-2 Big Ten champion Iowa or 11-2 Big 12 champion Baylor? An amazing quantity of chaos would wish to happen between the ultimate whistles of the Big 12 and Big Ten championships, respectively, however the Bears’ win makes that state of affairs sound barely much less absurd.
Previous rank: 4
The Bearcats have much less wiggle room than their Power 5 counterparts. The choice committee will probably by no means settle for a one-loss Group of 5 participant, particularly one which hasn’t received its convention championship. All issues thought of, Cincinnati should beat 11-1 Houston on Saturday if it needs to have any probability of constructing the playoff. It’s as easy a state of affairs as exists for any playoff-eligible crew remaining in rivalry.
MORE: Who is Blake Shapen? Baylor freshman QB leads Bears to upset, Big 12 title
Notre Dame (11-1)
Previous rank: 6
The Fighting Irish have to be leaping for pleasure after Baylor’s victory within the Big 12 championship. They know the choice committee has by no means accepted a two-loss crew, even those who have received their convention championship sport. Moreover, ESPN’s Heather Dinich on Saturday reported that the CFP choice committee has decided Brian Kelly’s absence from the crew — he’s now LSU’s head coach — would don’t have any bearing on how the committee ranks the Fighting Irish. If historical past holds, then Notre Dame ought to transfer up one spot into the No. 4 place, assuming an Alabama loss within the SEC championship sport. The Crimson Tide are the final crew remaining between Notre Dame and a second consecutive playoff berth. Not unhealthy work for a crew not even enjoying throughout convention championship weekend.
Previous rank: 9
The Bears have to overcome historical past — no two-loss crew has ever made the playoff — if they need to make the playoff. The Bears would wish to leap 5 groups to make the highest 4 groups, with No. 2 Michigan, No. 3 Alabama and No. 4 Cincinnati left to play. It would take a loss by every a kind of groups simply to have an opportunity. If chaos have been to be properly and actually unleashed on Saturday, nonetheless, then who’s to say a two-loss Big 12 champion could not make the playoff? Until then, look for the Bears to climb no larger than one of many first two groups out.
Previous rank: 13
Iowa is now in an identical boat as Baylor — assuming the Hawkeyes pull off what the Bears have been in a position to in AT&T Stadium. The Hawkeyes have maybe too massive a leap to make, even with a win on Saturday. But a win over the second-ranked Wolverines could be the second-biggest win of the day. Say the Hawkeyes win massive whereas No. 1 Georgia wins and No. 4 Cincinnati loses. Then the Hawkeyes would have a few significantly higher probability of constructing the playoff. Anything lower than which may be an excessive amount of for Iowa to make the playoff. Even with all that, it could be an excessive amount of to overcome for the Hawkeyes.
Oklahoma State (11-2)
Previous rank: 5
Oklahoma State’s playoff likelihood is gone. Because the Cowboys have been a sufferer of chaos on Saturday, there is not any manner they will profit from another losses by Michigan, Alabama or Cincinnati. The query is the place the Cowboys fall from right here. They’ll probably stay inside the highest 10 — maybe switching locations with the ninth-ranked Bears — and in rivalry for a New Year’s Day 6 bowl sport. If Baylor in some way makes the playoff, then Oklahoma State would have a look at a possible Sugar Bowl berth. If Baylor was not noted, nonetheless, then the Bears would probably get the Sugar Bowl berth whereas the Cowboys head to, maybe, the Fiesta Bowl. Not a foul manner to finish the season, however nonetheless wanting expectations for Gundy and Co.