College football upset alert: Expert picks for Week 13 underdogs with best odds to win

Every favored staff within the AP prime 25 received final week, so credit score to our panel for nonetheless choosing up some underdog wins. Missouri in the end ended the Dan Mullen at Florida with a 24-23 upset and capped it with some next-level Star Wars trolling. That additionally catapulted Zac Al-Khateed into the lead as we head into our remaining week right here on the Underdog (*13*).

Zac earned 9.5 factors with his decide of Missouri, since Florida was favored by 9.5 factors. Every week, every skilled picks three video games and may earn factors if their underdog comes by. Our hit fee of 35 p.c would possible win you cash betting on the moneyline at

MORE: Week 13 picks | Bowl projections


Rivalry week tends to lend itself to some upsets as added emotion can lead to wacky outcomes (the throw-out-the-records factor). Here are our standings as we wrap up the competition.

Zac Al-Khateeb
Bill Trocchi
Mike DeCourcy
Bill Bender

On to the upsets.

Odds courtesy

Bill Bender, Lead school football author

North Carolina (+5.5) over NC State


This line has dropped some extent, an indication that bettors know the Tar Heels have received the final two conferences in blowout vogue. This may be Sam Howell’s final sport, and North Carolina has an opportunity to sweep Duke, Wake Forest and NC State. Even in football, that is a factor.

Florida State (+2.5) over Florida

This matchup used to be top-10 must-see TV. Now, it is to see who will likely be bowl eligible. Dan Mullen was fired this week, and the Seminoles have proven regular enchancment since a disastrous begin. This will likely be a enjoyable sport, however the Seminoles push by with a last-minute victory.

South Carolina (+11.5) over Clemson


Neither staff is ranked, however the Gamecocks are 5-1 at residence this season and have constructed momentum beneath first-year coach Shane Beamer with late-season victories in opposition to Florida and Auburn. Clemson is the higher staff and is wanting for a seventh straight victory on this heated in-state collection. It will likely be nearer than the unfold.

Mike DeCourcy, Senior author

Boston College (+4.5) vs. No. 18 Wake Forest 

I’ve talked about beforehand, in different venues, that my best buddy is a dentist I belief extra on football issues than lots of people – perhaps most individuals – who earn their livings within the sport. He is enamored of BC quarterback Phil Jurkovec. Saw him play in highschool within the Pittsburgh space, can’t work out why Brian Kelly most popular Ian Book to him at Notre Dame, now believes the Steelers ought to do no matter they will to get Jurkovec, presumably within the 2023 draft. He’s clearly not again to himself after the damage that was supposed to finish his season (however didn’t). But he’s proven flashes, and Wake’s protection has appeared mighty pliable of late.

Tulsa (+6.5) at SMU

Maybe all Tulsa does right here is canopy. Because enjoying effectively in opposition to the best opposition – after which dropping – appears to be what the Golden Hurricane do best this season. They trailed CF(I) No. 2 Ohio State simply 13-6 and 20-10 in a 3rd quarter of what turned a 41-20 defeat. They have been down 14-12 at halftime and misplaced simply 28-20 in opposition to No. 4 Cincinnati after the Bearcats put up a number of goalline stands within the remaining minute. So that may very well be what occurs right here, one other spectacular effort, one other empty afternoon. But SMU may very well be shattered after what the Bearcats did to them final weekend. The Mustangs may need no kick left after that.

Michigan (+8.5) vs. Ohio State 

It has to finish someday, proper? I imply, if we’re going to preserve calling this a rivalry, “The Game”, all of that, then Michigan has to win someday, doesn’t it? The Buckeyes have received eight in a row, 15 of the previous 16 and 17 of the previous 19. At what level does this stop even to be within the dialog for probably the most important rivalries in school football, not to mention all of sports activities, if one aspect treats the opposite like a throw carpet? Playing at residence, with its best staff in most likely a decade, Michigan should make a stand right here. Oh, and did I point out that Bender can’t catch me in wins within the Underdog (*13*) standings? I ought to borrow Desmond Howard’s Heisman pose to have a good time.

MORE: Howard, Ginn outline Michigan-Ohio State rivalry

Bill Trocchi, Senior editor

Army (+3.5) at Liberty

I’ve not been an enormous believer in Liberty this yr, and final week’s 42-14 loss to Louisiana backed me up. Army has received three straight after that wild 70-56 loss to Wake Forest and nonetheless has Navy on the horizon. The Knights are targeted and prepared to douse the Flames.

North Carolina (+5.5) at NC State

NC State has an opportunity to win the Atlantic, however right here’s the place the bizarre rivalry factor is available in. UNC has had a disappointing season, however it may salvage issues with an upset in opposition to its rival. Quarterback Sam Howell healed his bruised physique final week whereas the Heels beat up Wofford. Heels win their third in a row over State.


Florida State (+2.5) at Florida

Florida State is rallying a bit, however three-point wins over Miami and BC hardly encourage. This is a decide in opposition to the prepare wreck that the Gators have became the previous few weeks. Hard to see them regrouping in opposition to a staff that’s nonetheless collectively and shifting ahead.

Zac Al-Khateeb, Content producer

No. 9 Ole Miss (+2.5) at Mississippi State

The Rebels are a win away from reaching their first 10-win season since 2015, needing solely to beat the Bulldogs to attain that threshold. Lane Kiffin’s offense hasn’t put up the blistering numbers it did within the first half of the season, however the protection has picked up the slack throughout the Rebels’ three-game win streak, giving up a median of 16.7 factors per sport in wins over Liberty, No. 11 Texas A&M and Vanderbilt. Mike Leach’s offense will throw much more at Ole Miss, however anticipate the Rebels to put collectively an general full efficiency in a win.

No. 10 Oklahoma (+3.5) at No. 7 Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State is enjoying arguably the best ball within the Big 12, and has already secured its Big 12 championship sport ticket. In that sense, the Cowboys don’t have any strain on this sport in any way … aside from to beat the Sooners for the primary time since 2014. It’ll be on Caleb Williams and Co. to overcome Jim Knowles’ protection, however it’s price understanding the Sooners haven’t scored fewer than 33 factors in Bedlam since 2012. If Lincoln Riley can get this offense going, it may flip right into a shootout. And it’s exhausting to decide in opposition to the Sooners in a shootout.

MORE: Betting tendencies to know for Oklahoma-Oklahoma State

Kentucky (+2.5) at Louisville

Kentucky coach Mark Stoops has performed an incredible job with this Wildcats staff, placing his staff in rivalry for 10 wins a yr after going 5-6. The first impediment to overcome is a Louisville staff that has misplaced this sport in every of the final two conferences. Cardinals quarterback Malik Cunningham, who has 12 whole touchdowns and nil interceptions over the past two video games, would be the best participant on the sector. The Wildcats have given up a lot of factors to potent offenses this season, however look for this group to step up within the rivalry matchup.

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